Aspects of Forecasting Excessive Precipitation Events in Germany

Competency Framework
WMO Satellite Skills

Presentation 2 in the Warnings Event Week 2017

Length: 42 min

Author: Marcus Beyer (DWD)


The talk of this presentation is focused on analyzing development of convective cells that may give huge amounts of precipitation. Marcus Beyer shows us the ingredient based forecasting method analyzing CAPE, moisture and lift, the three essential ingredients for developing of convection and then additionally the shear component that governs the strength of a convective cell. Later on Marcus analyzes two cases of convection that caused major damages in Germany using this method.


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