Case Study: 19 February 1997

• I. Frontal Diagnosis - 19 February 1997/00.00 UTC
  • Overview of satellite imagery for 00.00 UTC
  • Key parameters on isobaric surfaces for 00.00 UTC
  • Use of vertical cross sections for 00.00 UTC
• II. Frontal Diagnosis - 19 February 1997/06.00 UTC
  • Overview of satellite imagery for 06.00 UTC
  • Key parameters on isobaric surfaces for 06.00 UTC
  • Use of vertical cross sections for 06.00 UTC
• III. Diagnosis of Rapid Cyclogenesis and Upper Level Trough Feature - 19 February 1997/00.00 UTC
  • Overview of satellite imagery for Rapid Cyclogenesis 00.00 UTC
  • Key parameters on isobaric surfaces for Rapid Cyclogenesis 00.00 UTC
• IV. Diagnosis of Rapid Cyclogenesis and Upper Level Trough Feature - 19 February 1997/06.00 UTC
  • Overview of satellite imagery for Rapid Cyclogenesis 06.00 UTC
  • Key parameters on isobaric surfaces for Rapid Cyclogenesis 06.00 UTC
  • Relative streams and conveyor belts for Rapid Cyclogenesis 06.00 UTC
• V. Very Short Range Forecast
  • Very Short Range Forecast for the frontal system
  • Very Short Range Forecast for the Rapid Cyclogenesis and the Comma feature
  • Verification of Very Short Range Forecast

19 February 1997 - Very Short Range Forecast For The Frontal System

19 February 1997/06.00 UTC - Meteosat IR image; yellow: thermal front parameter (TFP) 500/850 hPa 06.00 UTC, green: thermal front parameter (TFP) 500/850 hPa 12.00 UTC, blue: thermal front parameter (TFP) 500/850 hPa 18.00 UTC	19 February 1997/06.00 UTC - Meteosat IR image; yellow: temperature advection - WA 1000 hPa 06.00 UTC, green: temperature advection - WA 1000 hPa 12.00 UTC, blue: temperature advection - WA 1000 hPa 18.00 UTC

The images show the path of frontal parameters like TFP (left image) and WA (right image) during the next 12 hours from 06.00 UTC to 18.00 UTC. There is a fast eastward propagation of the TFP across Ireland to England; in the same time interval the warm sector becomes more and more narrow and a spiral structure develops north of Ireland. The WA maximum related to the Warm Front moves in accordance to the TFP and reaches the North Sea and west Europe at 18.00 UTC.